3.27

Overall: 254-159

3.26: Recap 4-6-1

An unfortunate 4-6-1 finish last, night thanks to a slew of NHL games that were decided in under 6 goals. The best time to get on The Brain is following a *rare* losing night, so tonight’s big schedule of games should provide our record with a much needed boost.

We’re now 415 games into this little experiment, and boasting a respectable success rate of 61.5%. I expect tonight to be much better and am even toying with another people’s parlay to get the masses involved. If conviction looks good I will post again soon with more details. Regardless, here’s the slate for tonight…BOL!

3.27 picks:

• ⚽
• Germany-Brazil o2.5✗
• 🏀
• San Antonio SA -2 (implied -3) ✗
• Portland POR +1 (implied -2) ✓
• Toronto TOR -9 (implied -11) ✗
• 🏒
• Pittsburgh ML -220 ✗
• Anaheim ML -215✗
• Nashville ML -160 ✗
• Carolina at New Jersey o6 ✓
• Pittsburgh at Detroit o6  ✓
• Boston at Winnipeg o5.5 ✓

3.26

Overall: 250-153

3.23: Recap 6-4 (bonus: 1-3)

6-4 on Friday – no thanks to some stunning unders in the NHL. We had 3 games end with 5 goals. On the flip side however, NBA was on fire…I know you guys can’t see this yet, but the brain has a projected final score for each game, and on Friday, 3 of these projected score were exactly correct (within 1pt for rounding). For both teams in each game (see below), The Brain knew the exact final score of the game before the game even started. Not sure if this is even a bet that can be made, but it could be work looking into…

3.23 Exact Score Predictions:

Team	Projected	Actual
Minnesota MIN	108	108
New York NY	105	104
Miami MIA	99	99
Oklahoma OKC	104	105
Boston BOS	103	105
Portland POR	99	100

3.26 picks:

• ⚽
•  Portugal-Netherlands o2.25 ✓
•  Portugal ML +109 ✗
• 🏀
• Detroit DET -5 (implied -13) ✓
• Philadelphia PHI -6 (implied -16) ✓
• Boston BOS -9 (implied -11) ✗
• 🏒
• Toronto ML -290 ✗
• Tampa Bay ML -280 ✗
• Washington ML -165 ✓
• Ottawa at Carolina o6 ✗
• Washington at NY Rangers o6 P
• Florida at NY Islanders o6.5 ✗

 

3.23

Overall: 244-149

3.22: Recap 5-5 (bonus: 2-2)

 

5-5 night and the bonus split 2-2. Average night on paper, but there was a ton of conviction on the top picks, which were all guaranteed wins. A parlay of the top picks in each sport would have paid a pretty penny last night, kudos to anyone who took advantage of that. Looking ahead, we have a very solid batch tonight with some crunch-time NHL games which should be fun to watch. NBA is leaning favorites, which to me is always a good sign. Lets go.

3.23 picks:

• 🏀
• Washington WSH -2 (implied -6) ✗
• Golden State GS -10 (implied -14) ✓
• San Antonio SA -3 (implied -4) ✓
• 🏒
• St. Louis ML -300 ✓
• Boston ML -110 ✓
• Winnipeg ML -145 ✓
• New Jersey at Pittsburgh o6 ✓
• Vancouver at St. Louis o5.5 ✗
• Montreal at Buffalo o5.5 ✗
• Boston at Dallas o5.5 ✗
• 🏆
• Purdue PUR -2 (implied -14) ✗
• Villanova VILL -5 (implied -21) ✓
• Kansas KU -5 (implied -12) ✗
• Duke DUKE -12 (implied -21) ✗

 

3.22

Overall: 239-144

3.21: Recap 6-4

 

6-4 night…nothing to write home about, but if you watched any of the last three games – Bruins, Pacers, or Nets – you would have seen that all three dominated for 99% of their respective games. Every stat in the book pointed in their favors until the last few minutes of play, at which point all three agreed to roll-over and choke away their respective leads. To think…we could have gone 9-1 last night, smdh. NCAAB is back tonight, and the basketball model is getting a huge readjustment which i think will help the kids a lot. Posting these picks as a bonus…not counted towards the overall record for obvious reasons. Full slate of NHL and NBA and even an international soccer friendly peppered in tonight too…BOL

3.22 picks:

• ⚽
• Denmark-Panama o2.5 ✗
• 🏀
• Philadelphia PHI -8 (implied -15) ✓
• Utah UTAH -8 (implied -13) ✗
• Atlanta ATL +2 (implied -3) ✗
• 🏒
• Tampa Bay ML -180 ✓
• Washington ML -170 ✓
• Nashville ML -165 ✗
• Edmonton at Ottawa — o6 ✓
• NY Rangers at Philadelphia — o6 ✓
• Vegas at San Jose — o5.5 ✗
• 🏆
• Loyola (Chi) LCHI +2 (implied -7) ✓
• Michigan MICH -3 (implied -11) ✓
• Gonzaga GONZ -6 (implied -18) ✗
• Kentucky UK -5 (implied -9) ✗

3.21

Overall: 233-140

3.20: Recap 3-5

3-5 last night. Some wild upsets in the NHL, and the Toronto Raptors laying off at the end of the game to only win by 7 certainly didn’t help, Houston Rockets missed covering by 1 (!!) point too. Conviction is still very high, so it just looks like were going to give back some of last weeks profits, nothing more. International soccer is back with a few secondary English league games. Big day today to let’s make it all back. Lets go.

3.21 picks:

• • ⚽
  • Walsall-Wigan o2.25 ✓
  • Crawley Town-Wycombe o2.5 ✓
  • 🏀
  • Indiana IND +1 (implied -4) ✗
  • Cleveland CLE -2 (implied -4) ✓
  • Brooklyn BKN +2 (implied -2) ✗
  • 🏒
  • Pittsburgh ML -260 ✓
  • Boston ML -117 ✗
  • Arizona ML -105 ✓
  • Montreal at Pittsburgh — o5.5 ✓
  • Boston at St. Louis — o5.5 ✗

3.20

Overall: 230-135

3.19: Recap 4-7

4-7 last night, and our people’s parlay was a sad 5-3. No money yesterday, but we will rebound tonight, as is always the case in the rare nights that The Brain goes negative.

3.20 picks:

• 🏀
• Houston HOU -5 (implied -12) ✗
• Toronto TOR -10 (implied -13) ✗
• 🏒
• Pittsburgh ML -165 ✗
• Philadelphia ML -160 ✗
• Colorado ML -120 ✓
• Pittsburgh at NY Islanders — o6.5 ✗
• Toronto at Tampa Bay — o6.5 ✓
• Florida at Ottawa — o6 ✓

CLOSED: 3.19 People’s Parlay “Robin Hood”

Result: 5-3 ✗

Alright folks, here it is…the first ever “People’s Parlay.”

“Robin Hood” – We’re executing this with the goal in mind to take from the rich (Vegas) and give to the poor (All of us sad saps).

$10 to win $693 – I will distribute evenly to everyone that signs up below. Simply fill out the form with your name and email, so i know where to send the $$ when we win. I’ll give people an idea of numbers when we get closer to game time. The opportunity for inclusion ends at 7pm when the first game starts.

This first parlay is 100% FREE for all, just giving a taste of what’s to come in the new format.

 

 

3.19

Overall: 226-128

3.16: Recap 6-3

Stellar 6-3 Friday, with some enormous wins in the NHL o/u market. On the other side of the coin, Dallas (-170) lost in soul crushing fashion against the Ottawa Senators deep into OT.  obviously the NCAAB picks were trash, so we’re not even going to discuss the bracket or anything college related for a while…Big, big pro slate tonight, so i’m thinking about putting together a free “people’s parlay.” Like Robin Hood, I plan to steal from the rich and give to the poor, so if it hits I will share a slice of the profits with all who follow me on a regular basis. More on this to come this afternoon when the NHL starting goalies are announced. I will post a full summary of the parlay and what the payout looks like. This is by no means a guarantee of $$, but rather a fun way to keep everyone engaged in this new website format.

BOL all, stay tuned for the parlay info.

3.19 picks:

• ⚽
• (French Ligue 2) Brest-Nimes o2.5 ✗
• 🏀
• Milwaukee MIL +3 (implied -2) ✗
• Memphis MEM +6 (implied +5) ✓
• Golden State GS at San Antonio SA — o203.5 ✗
• 🏒
• Nashville ML -240 ✓
• Boston ML -160 ✗
• Florida ML -145 ✓
• Florida at Montreal — o6 ✗
• Calgary at Arizona — u5.5 ✗
• Nashville at Buffalo — o6 ✗
• Columbus at Boston — o5.5 ✓

All Day 2 Round 3.16.18

Bracket: 19-13

ATS: 12-17-3

• 🏆
• Texas A&M TAMU -3 (implied -5) ✓
• CS Fullerton CSF +20 (implied +16) ✗
• Wichita State WICH -12 (implied -15) ✗
• Cincinnati CIN -14 (implied -17) ✓
• Lipscomb LIP +21 (implied +10) ✓
• Arkansas ARK +2 (implied -1) ✗
• Murray State MURR +10 (implied -5) ✗
• Nevada NEV +2 (implied -6) ✓
• Creighton CREI PK (implied -9) ✗
• Bucknell BUCK +14 (implied +5) ✓
• Xavier XAV -19 (implied -19) P
• Charleston COFC +10 (implied +4) ✓
• Virginia UVA -21 (implied -21) ✗
• TCU TCU -5 (implied -6) ✗
• Missouri MIZ +2 (implied -2) ✗
• New Mexico State NMSU +5 (implied -15) ✗

As promised, here is the full bracket:

3.16

Overall: 220-125

3.15: Recap 7-2 (bonus 6-8-2)

7-2 for brain picks last night, despite a tough showing for NCAAB games. I’m going to go back on what i said earlier with all picks counting towards the overall. Reason being, it’s seemingly impossible to predict who is going to show up on game day in NCAAB. Data can have a 100% conviction, but then a team will go 0-14 from 3 and lose by 18 (NC Central). It’s just not a good reflection of the model as a whole.

That said, I will be breaking out success rate by sport in a post later on today or tomorrow, so be on the lookout for that. NHL is undoubtedly the best (I’m guessing >70%). Full bracket and ATS plays coming today also.

3.16 picks:

• 🏀
• Toronto TOR -12 (implied -18) ✗
• Miami MIA +4 (implied -2) (outright win +110) ✓
• Miami MIA at Los Angeles LAL — u219.5 ✓
• 🏒
• Dallas ML -140 ✗
• Anaheim ML -240 ✓
• Vegas ML -170 ✗
• NY Islanders at Washington — o6 ✓
• Minnesota at Vegas — o5.5 ✓
• Nashville at Colorado — o5.5 ✓